External Relations
Foreign trade accounted for only 7 per cent of China’s GNP in
1978 but by the early 1990s it had soared to 40 per cent and it has
stayed at that level ever since. China’s share of world trade quad-
rupled during the same period. By 2002, over 40 per cent of
China’s GDP was accounted for by foreign direct investment (and
manufacturing accounted for half ). By then China had become the
largest recipient of foreign direct investment in the developing
world, and multinationals were exploiting the China market pro
fit-
ably. General Motors, which had lost on its failed venture in the
early 1990s, re-entered the market at the end of the decade and by
2003 was reporting far higher pro
fits on its Chinese venture than
on its domestic US operations.
28
It seemed as if an export-led development strategy had suc-
ceeded brilliantly. But none of this had been planned in 1978.
Deng had signalled a departure from Mao’s policies of internal
self-reliance, but the
first openings towards the outside were ten-
tative and con
fined to special economic zones in Guangdong. It
was not until 1987 that the party, noting the success of the
Guangdong experiment, accepted that growth should be export-
led. And it was only after Deng’s ‘southern tour’ in 1992 that the
full force of the central government was put behind the opening
to foreign trade and foreign direct investment.
29
In 1994, for
example, the dual currency exchange rate (o
fficial and market)
was abolished by a 50 per cent devaluation of the o
fficial rate.
While the devaluation sparked something of an internal in
flation-
ary crisis, it paved the way for massive growth in trade and of
capital in
flows that have now positioned China as the world’s
most dynamic and successful economy. What this betokens for the
future of neoliberalization, given the latter’s penchant for change
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