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shoe is liable to drop, because the
only way the Chinese can a
fford
this is by piling up balance of payments surpluses against the US.
A peculiar symbiosis emerges, in which China, along with Japan,
Taiwan, and other Asian central banks, fund the US debt so that
the US can conveniently consume their surplus output. But this
renders the US vulnerable to the whims of Asian central bankers.
Conversely, Chinese economic dynamism is held hostage to US
fiscal and monetary policy. The US is also currently behaving in a
Keynesian fashion –– running up enormous federal de
ficits and
consumer debt while insisting that everyone else must obey neolib-
eral rules. This is not a sustainable position, and there are now
many in
fluential voices in the US suggesting that it is steering
right into the hurricane of a major
financial crisis.
43
For China, this
would entail switching from a politics of labour absorption to a
politics of overt repression. Whether or not such a tactic can suc-
ceed, as it did in Tiananmen Square in 1989, will depend crucially
upon the balance of class forces and how the Communist Party
positions itself in relation to those forces.
44
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