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FAO land evaluation a-a1080e
40 2019 ND-CP 413905
99
The CARMEN model (Cause-effect Relation Model to support Environmental 
Negotiations), developed by the Dutch National Institute of Public Health and 
the Environment (RIVM), accounts for all diffuse and point sources of nutrients to 
groundwater and surface water. The model was developed during the early 1990s, and 
has been updated for an assessment on European environmental priorities by RIVM 
and other partners. Indicators used are nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations in 
river basins (in mg N per litre; mg P per litre). Nutrient loading from point sources 
(wastewater) and non-point sources (agriculture and atmospheric deposition) is 
considered by the model, and output maps allow the estimation of eutrophication 
risks at a regional to continental scale. Agriculture is responsible for diffuse pollution 
through runoff water carrying organic manure and mineral fertilizers (NO
3
and PO
4
), 
entering into streams and groundwater. In addition, ammonia is deposited downwind 
from intensive livestock enterprises, affecting fragile ecosystems. Urban households 
and industrial sources are emitting nitrate and phosphate into surface water, as well 
as organic substances that contribute to biological and chemical oxygen demand. 
However, wastewater treatment plants are eliminating an increasing proportion of 
these pollutants, thus reducing eutrophication.
Salinization
Soil salinity caused by natural or human-induced processes is a major environmental 
hazard. The global extent of primary salt-affected soils is about 955 M ha, while 
secondary salinization affects some 77 M ha, with 58 percent of these in irrigated 
areas. Nearly 20 percent of all irrigated land is salt-affected, and this proportion tends 
to increase in spite of considerable efforts dedicated to land reclamation. Soil salinity 
status and variation should be monitored carefully, providing timely information to 
curb degradation trends and secure sustainable land use and management. Remote 
sensing methods can contribute significantly to detecting changes of salt-related surface 
features with time. Airborne geophysics and ground-based electromagnetic induction 
meters, combined with ground data, have shown potential for mapping salinity in 
layers at different depths (Metternich and Zinck 2003) but precise estimation of salt 
quantities on the basis of satellite or aerial remote sensing is still difficult.
Soil salinization is a major problem in arid and semiarid regions with a shallow 
saline water table. Salinization is influenced by climate, soil type, crop, irrigation water 
quality and management practice, depth to water table, and salinity of the water table. 
Capillary rise and salinity of soil profiles with a shallow saline water table can be 
estimated by modelling. The modified TSAM (Jorenush and Sepashkah 2003) may be 
suitable for estimating short-term mean rate of capillary rise, net long-term capillary 
rise and seasonal soil salinities in different soil layers. In the Canadian prairies digital 
terrain modelling is used in the prediction of soil salinity (Florinski et al., 2000). In 
a rice cropping system in West Africa, Van Asten et al., (2003) used the PHREEQC 
2.0 model (Parkhurst and Appelo 1999) to study actual and potential development of 
soil salinity and sodicity problems by simulating concentration of the irrigation water 
through evaporation.




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