(3) International investment position
the country's foreign reserves,
its external debt,
status of its currency in international markets.
(4) Fiscal flexibility
government's willingness and ability to increase revenue or cut expenditures to ensure debt
service
trends in debt as a percentage of GDP.
(5) Monetary flexibility
ability to use monetary policy for domestic economic objectives
credibility and effectiveness of monetary policy.
Credit rating agencies assign each national government two ratings:
o
Local currency debt rating higher because local currency debt can be repaid by
raising taxes,
controlling domestic spending,
simply printing more money
o
Foreign currency debt rating historically more default risk
Sovereign defaults can be
caused by events such as war, political instability, severe
devaluation of the currency, or large declines in the prices of the country's export commodities
c) Non-Sovereign Government Bonds
Non-sovereign government debt is issued by
o
local governments
o quasi-governmental entities.
Municipal bonds:
o
Interest payments from municipal bonds are most often exempt from national income taxes.
o
Default rates for municipal bonds are very low relative to corporate bonds.
o Most municipal bonds can be classified as
general obligation bonds or
revenue bonds
General obligation bonds (GO bonds)
Revenue bonds
unsecured bonds backed by the full faith credit of
the issuing governmental entity supported by its
taxing power
issued to finance specific projects, such as airports,
toll bridges, hospitals, and power generation
facilities
Have
less credit risk
Have higher credit risk because the project is the
sole source of funds to service the debt
Economic factors to assess in evaluating the
creditworthiness of GO bonds include
employment,
trends in per capita income
per capita debt,
tax base dimensions
demographics,
ability to attract new jobs
Analysis of revenue bonds combines analysis of the
project analysis of the financing of the project
o
Issues with municipal bonds:
Unlike sovereigns, municipalities cannot use monetary policy to service their debt and
usually must balance their operating budgets
Relying on highly variable taxes that are subject to
economic cycles, such as capital gains
and sales taxes, can signal higher credit risk.