Land evaluation – towards a revised framework
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other hand, process models are capable of describing and simulating multiple processes
in time such as plant growth, pesticide leaching, erosion or hydrological balances. Most
models have poor data input handling and presentation facilities.
The new option of
integrating GIS and process models combines the strength of spatial analysis with
temporal simulations.
The application of a process model to assess environmental problems at a regional
to continental scale may be very fruitful. Although at first
sight this approach appears
to be the most generally applicable, there are major problems of validation, and in
particular in relating coarse-scale
forecasts to available data, most of which are for small
plots or point observations. Many of the most successful process models require more
detailed distributed parameters and rainfall intensity data
than are generally available,
so that they cannot be applied without radical simplification. One important aspect of
this problem is the need to develop models that can be used for validation at detailed
scales and for
forecasting at a coarse scale, so that cross-scale reconciliation is as explicit
as possible. Nevertheless this approach has the potential to provide a rational physical
basis to the combination of factors that can be
derived from coarse-scale GIS, and
overcome the difficulties about weighting and intercorrelation which are encountered
in purely factor-based assessments.
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